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It’s an interesting year for the TV Academy — yes, we just had the 2023 Emmys ceremony in January due to the strikes, and now we’re gearing up for the 2024 awards in September. Are we prepared? Do we have a choice? The good news is we’re still nearly two months away from the real 2024 Primetime Emmy nominations (that’s Wednesday, July 17; mark your calendars), which means it’s the perfect time to take a stab at our first set of predictions. In the past few weeks, we’ve talked about some of the elements that could shape this awards season: The Bear positioned to dominate the comedy categories ; Shōgun moving from limited series to drama after announcing plans to make more seasons ; the recent (unwelcome) tendency of Emmy voters to nominate huge blocks of cast members in the same category rather than spread the wealth.

All of these elements factored into our predictions. It’s a long read but necessary to get a sense of the landscape. Sit down with a cool Memorial Day–weekend drink and dig in.



. The void left by Succession seemed to clear a wide path for The Crown to gobble up everything in its farewell season, but with the popular and acclaimed Shōgun now officially a drama, there’s a real battle at the top of this category. That leaves six slots left for a ton of shows that, with very few exceptions, have yet to prove themselves as Emmy favorites.

Apple TV+ is looking to secure multiple Drama Series nominees for the first time ever with Slow Horses in a.

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