The Euro 2024 knockout games are now set in stone, and the 36 games we have seen so far have given us a chance to pass judgement on all of the 16 sides going through. To help us along, we crunched a few numbers that took into account the points accumulated, goals for and against and expected goals for and against to start us off, Then - having kept an eye on every group stage game - applied a bit of the old-fashioned eye test and some gut feeling to sort them into a more correct-feeling order, taking into account the relative difficulty of each group in the process. Scientific? Not really - but we're fairly content with our placements nonetheless.
.. 16.
Slovenia Going by results alone, knockout stage debutants should be down a few places, level with Denmark: we're not taking yellow cards into account here. But they sit where they are because the xG numbers suggest they have had a little bit of luck along the way, ranking poorly on that front at both ends of the pitch - and they're one of just a handful of teams to have made it through without winning a game yet. Let's not take anything away from them, though.
If we were taking sentimentality into account, Slovenia's advance to the round of 16 would earn them significant bonus points. But because we're just cold hard horrible people, we have to regard them as unlikely to get past the round of 16 - much as we'd love to be surprised. 15.
Slovakia A similar story to Slovenia: we were delighted to see Slovakia edge their way to an.
