Just hours left to cast your vote as last major poll update shows Labour's majority dropping slightly to 270, Conservatives edging up to 68 MPs and Reform seizing 15 seats - but Tories insist higher-than-expected turnout gives them a 'MUCH better chance' GENERAL ELECTION 2024 LIVE: Follow MailOnline's liveblog for latest updates By Greg Heffer, Political Correspondent For Mailonline Published: 18:04 BST, 4 July 2024 | Updated: 20:48 BST, 4 July 2024 e-mail 56 shares 1.2k View comments Advertisement A last major poll update this afternoon showed Labour's predicted majority dropping slightly to 270 seats as the general election entered its final hours. An updated 'MRP' projection by Survation showed Sir Keir Starmer 's party winning 470 seats, with the Tories reduced to 68 MPs in the House of Commons, just slightly ahead of the Liberal Democrats on 59.
Nigel Farage 's Reform UK were on course to win 15 seats, nudging them one MP ahead of the SNP to likely become the UK's fourth-largest party. The predicted Conservative result was a slight improvement on Survation's previous MRP study, with Labour's projected result marginally downgraded. Many Britons are expected to cast their votes on their way home from work this evening as polling stations remain open until 10pm.
The Tories claimed a higher-than-expected turnout already today had left them with a 'MUCH better chance' than polls have suggested. An email to Conservative supporters, signed from the 'CCHQ Data Team', read: 'We'r.