YouGov’s first seat-by-seat projection of the 2024 election shows that Plaid Cymru will hold the new-look Ceredigion and Dwyfor Meirionnydd seats, that Labour is on course to make gains across Wales, and the Conservatives facing “significant defeats” UK-wide. The projections shows Labour is set to take 28 seats compared to just two each for the Conservatives (Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe, Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr) and Plaid Cymru (Ceredigion Preseli, Dwyfor Meirionnydd). A number of the Conservative losses are in traditional Labour areas that went Conservative at the last election such as Wrexham and Bridgend.
The Conservative held Ynys Mon that they won in a three-way battle again Labour and Plaid Cymru last time is likely to just be a two-way fight this time between Labour and Plaid. New chair of Ceredigion charity kicks off fundraising campaign Machynlleth school must help Caereinion with Welsh language Urdd thanks people of Maldwyn as thousands enjoy Eisteddfod Galw am gyfranwyr ar gyfer cyfres Tŷ FFIT ar S4C The results would see Conservatives losing 12 of its 14 Welsh seats, but clinging on in the new look Montgomeryshire Glyndwr seat where Craig Williams is predicted to be re-elected. The enlarged and renamed Ceredigion Preseli constituency would be retained by Plaid’s Ben Lake, with the party’s Liz Saville-Roberts also holding Dwyfor Meirionnydd.
Welsh constituencies have been renamed and boundaries redrawn for this election, with the total number of MPs.
