Analysts will predict the winners and losers in these elections. Exit polls are not exact polls. Some get it right, while others go horribly wrong.
New Delhi: Polling for the marathon seven-phase Lok Sabha elections will end on June 1st. On the same day, exit polls will start pouring in. Analysts will predict the winners and losers in these elections.
Exit polls are not exact polls. Some get it right, while others go horribly wrong. How did exit polls predict the last four elections? News9 Plus Decodes But first, what are exit polls and why are they conducted? Exit polls predict the anticipated winners on the basis of voter interviews.
Their accuracy, is debatable. In 2004 and 2009, the exit polls got it horribly wrong. In 2004, exit polls looked something like this: (should be displayed as GFX) NDTV-AC Nielsen | NDA 230-250, Congress 190-205, Others 100-120 Aaj Tak ORG-MARG | NDA 248, Congress-190, Others-105 StarNews C-Voter | NDA 263-275, Congress 174-186, Others 86-98 These were the actual results: (should be displayed as GFX) UPA-208, NDA-181, Left Front-59 Congress-145, BJP-138 All exit polls predicted a win for the BJP-led NDA but the Congress-led UPA won.
In 2009, most predictions failed. Exit polls predicted However, the actual results were this The highest prediction for the UPA was 205 but it ended up winning 262 seats. In 2014, most exit polls were accurate in giving the BJP-led NDA an edge over the Congress-led UPA.
But, only one exit poll predicted an NDA majori.
